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S.A.S » Festivals 2017 » Ebor Festival 2017 » Glorious Goodwood 2017 » HORSES TO FOLLOW EXTRA

HORSES TO FOLLOW EXTRA

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1 HORSES TO FOLLOW EXTRA on Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:14 am

Mike "Acesandeights"

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Lot of pages so i be updating so make sure keep coming back


While the owners of the Goodwood estate have been welcoming racegoers for around 200 years, the
racecourse’s 10-year sponsorship deal with Qatar—the biggest single deal in British horse racing—
has been in place since 2014. Ahead of this year’s Qatar Goodwood Festival, the partnership has come
under closer scrutiny following the decision of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt and Bahrain to sever their
diplomatic ties with Qatar and introduce an economic blockade which includes the closing of Qatar’s
border with Saudi Arabia—its sole land link to the rest of the world—over allegations of Qatari support
for terrorism, which it denies. The course’s general manager Alex Eade explained that its partnership
had not been affected by recent developments in the Middle East (“Our partnership is the same and will
continue to be so”) and that is reflected in the entries for the week, with both the Saudi Prince Khalid
Abdullah and Godolphin—owned by UAE leader Sheikh Mohammed—well represented.


Goodwood’s Sussex Stakes has become synonymous with the ‘Duel on the Downs’ in recent years, the
term seemingly first coined for the 2011 clash between Frankel and the previous year’s winner Canford
Cliffs, but subsequently used by marketing teams for matchups between Toronado and Dawn Approach
(2013) and Toronado and Kingman (2014). Last year’s race—the finish of which featured The Gurkha,
Galileo Gold and Ribchester in that order—was more of a ménage a trois, however it was the most
exciting finish since less than a length separated the first five in the 2003 renewal won by Reel Buddy.
Ribchester, who was sent off at 8/1 twelve months ago, is a much shorter price as he bids for retribution
in this year’s race, with the Richard Fahey-trained colt just one of a strong team of Godolphin-owned
horses which includes last year’s Lennox Stakes winner Dutch Connection, Nassau Stakes contender
Wuheida, and Betfred Mile favourite Blair House.


The Betfred Mile is one of several eagerly-anticipated handicaps over the five days of the meeting,
with Saturday’s Stewards’ Cup one of the best and biggest betting races of the year. Last year’s renewal
was won by the three-year-old filly Dancing Star, who beat Orion’s Bow, Raucous, Growl and
Duke of Firenze into the places, all of whom are on course to lift the first prize some 12 months on.
The Wokingham third Projection, and Steady Pace, who filled the same position in the Bunbury Cup
last month, will provide stiff competition, though.


Frankie Dettori, who rode his first British winner at Goodwood 29 years ago as a 16-year-old apprentice,
won the 2015 Stewards’ Cup on Magical Memory and has been leading jockey five times at the meeting.
He has been out of action since Royal Ascot due to the recurrence of an arm injury, however he has
recovered in time to take up the ride on favourite Big Orange in the Goodwood Cup which has been
upgraded to Group 1 status and moved to the first day of the meeting, part of a number of changes
issued by the European Pattern Committee to help ‘safeguard the future of the staying horse in Europe’.
Other changes at the meeting this year include moving the Nassau Stakes, which has recently been run
on the Saturday of the meeting, to Thursday, with the Gordon Stakes going the other way, as well as
a new clerk of the course; Edward Arkell will take over from long-standing clerk Seamus Buckley, who
retires from his position at the end of the 2017 season. “Ed is a very forward and modern thinking person,
yet still holds the very important old fashioned values, for example, where the horse always comes first,”
said Buckley. “I wish him all the best of luck and hope he enjoys Goodwood as much as I have.”
Like Dettori and Buckley, Richard Hughes has enjoyed Goodwood, excelling as a rider at the West
Sussex venue. “It’s a jockeys’ track,” he explained. “I never thought I had to be on the best horse to
win at Goodwood. There’s a huge plus side to arriving there liking the place and full of confidence.


Conversely if you go there not liking it, it’s a huge negative.” As well as previewing all of the major races,
this edition of Horses To Follow Extra features a look at Timeform’s ground-breaking new jockey and
trainer dashboards—the latest tool for finding winners—which help you work out who to follow when
punting, and more importantly, where and when.

UPDATING OVER NIGHT KEEP READING

2 Re: HORSES TO FOLLOW EXTRA on Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:20 am

Mike "Acesandeights"

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Lennox Stakes
Skip to bottom for Conclusion

ACLAIM Martyn Meade
Very smart performer in 2016, winning four times in total, culminating with Group 2 Challenge Stakes
at Newmarket. Below form on reappearance in Lockinge Stakes at Newbury, but ran much better in
Diamond Jubilee at Royal Ascot last time, despite shaping as though drop back to 6f was against him.
Unbeaten over 7f and claims on best form.


BRETON ROCK David Simcock
Good-topped gelding who shows plenty of knee action and is at his best on soft/heavy ground. Won
twice last season and best effort this year when length fifth to Absolutely So in John of Gaunt Stakes at
Haydock in June. Will likely prove vulnerable once again unless conditions come up testing.


COUGAR MOUNTAIN Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
Strong, attractive horse who doesn’t win very often, but has plenty of smart form to his name. Not seen
to best effect when three and a quarter lengths fifth to Spirt of Valor in Minstrel Stakes at the Curragh
last time, unsuited by the way the race developed. Place claims at best.


DUTCH CONNECTION Charles Hills
Rangy sort who has a very good record at this track, runner-up in this race in 2015 and career best to win
last year by one and three quarter lengths from Home of The Brave. Failed to meet expectations behind
Spirit of Valor in Minstrel Stakes at the Curragh last time, but much better expected here.


HOME OF THE BRAVE Hugo Palmer
Made up into a very smart performer this season, winning both starts, latest in Criterion Stakes at
Newmarket by three quarters of a length from Jungle Cat. Won with a bit in hand that day and, runnerup
to Dutch Connection in this last year, holds realistic claims of going one better.


JUNGLE CAT Charlie Appleby
Good-topped horse who is proving consistent this year, and deservedly resumed winning ways in threerunner
minor event at Haydock last time by five lengths from Ibn Malik. Benefited from the other two
taking each other on that day, and this much stronger, but should run his race once more.


LIBRISA BREEZE Dean Ivory
Much improved for this yard in 2016, landing a couple of valuable handicaps at Ascot in fine style. Far
from disgraced in Group 1s last twice, beaten just over two lengths by The Tin Man in Diamond Jubilee
at Royal Ascot on return. This his optimum trip, and has the form in the book to be a real contender.


LIMATO Henry Candy
Compact gelding who proved himself a high-class performer when winning July Cup last year. Back
to near his best when beaten a length in Diamond Jubilee in June and similar form when runner-up to Harry Angel in July Cup at Newmarket last time. Stays 7f and the one to beat in this field if taking his chance, though he could run in Group 1 Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville instead.


OH THIS IS US Richard Hannon
Continued progress this season, winning listed race at Haydock by a neck from Absolutely So in May.
Unlucky not to win Diomed Stakes at Epsom too, short of room at a crucial stage, and not disgraced in
Queen Anne (1m) at Royal Ascot last time. Up to making his mark at this level.


RICHARD PANKHURST John Gosden
Impressive winner of Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2014, but hasn’t progressed as expected since,
and something to prove having finished well held on return behind Home of The Brave at Newmarket
last month.


STORMY ANTARCTIC Ed Walker
Well-made colt who won heavy-ground Craven Stakes (1m) on return last year and has since run plenty
of good races in defeat. Would have benefited from a stronger gallop when one and three quarter
lengths third to Spirit of Valor in Minstrel Stakes last time and should continue to give a good account.


MIX AND MINGLE Chris Wall
Improved model this year, winning first two starts, including Group 3 Chartwell Stakes (1m) at Lingfield
by two and a quarter lengths from Qemah. Can have a line put through latest run in Duke of Cambridge
Stakes at Royal Ascot, as she was one of three who stayed down the centre. This harder up against the boys, but still merits respect.


SPIRIT OF VALOR Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
Strong colt who confirmed his big-priced effort in Jersey Stakes was no fluke when winning Group 2
Minstrel Stakes at the Curragh last time with several of these in behind. He had the run of things in front,
but was clear best anyway, and the drop back to 7f appears to have been the making of him. 3 lb penalty
to shoulder for that win, but still makes plenty of appeal.


DREAM CASTLE Saeed bin Suroor
Sturdy colt who made a taking winning debut at Doncaster in April and improved to finish second in
Greenham Stakes and fifth in 2000 Guineas next two starts. Shade disappointing in Jersey Stakes last
time, but too soon to write him off.


MUBTASIM William Haggas
Sturdy colt who won three times at two, and best effort this season when third in Jersey Stakes at Royal
Ascot (two lengths behind Spirit of Valor). Not seen to best effect behind same rival at the Curragh last
time (left poorly placed) and there’s likely still a bigger effort in him.


CONCLUSION
Limato would prove hard to beat if taking his chance, but his participation is ground dependent, which
makes this a tricky puzzle to solve. Librisa Breeze shaped very well in the Diamond Jubilee on his
return, and is expected to take advantage of both the drop in grade and the return to 7f. He needs to
prove he is as effective away from Ascot, but current odds of 6/1 are more than fair for one who has run
well in Group 1 company the last twice. Last year’s winner Dutch Connection disappointed last time but
is also respected given his excellent record here

3 Re: HORSES TO FOLLOW EXTRA on Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:26 am

Mike "Acesandeights"

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Goodwood Cup


BIG ORANGE Michael Bell
Very smart performer who won Princess of Wales’s Stakes at Newmarket and this race (both for second
year in succession) in 2016. Returned as good as ever this year with wins in Henry II Stakes at Sandown
(by five lengths from Higher Power) and Gold Cup at Royal Ascot (by short head from Order of St George)
last time, holding on gamely. Very much one to beat in his hat-trick bid.


DAL HARRAILD William Haggas
Won three of six starts as a three-year-old last season, including handicap at this meeting and listed
race at Newmarket. Better than ever when winning listed race at York (by three and a half lengths from
Nakeeta) in May and ran creditably when four lengths sixth to Idaho in Hardwicke Stakes (1½m) at Royal
Ascot last time. Cannot be discounted if improving further up in trip.


HIGHER POWER James Fanshawe
Won twice at Kempton in 2016 and took another step forward when winning Northumberland Plate
at Newcastle (by half a length from Natural Scenery) last time, quickening to lead over 1f out before
digging deep. More needed to reverse earlier form with Big Orange back up in grade here, however.


HIGH JINX Tim Easterby
Prix du Cadran (2½m) winner for James Fanshawe in 2014 and ran huge race for new yard after two years
off when half a length third to Dartmouth in Yorkshire Cup at York in May. Off eight weeks, below form
when last of five to Rare Rhythm in listed race at same course last time.


ORIENTAL FOX Mark Johnston
Smart performer who won 21f Queen Alexandra Stakes (for a second time) at Royal Ascot (by one and
three quarter lengths from Thomas Hobson) in June. Respectable fifth in 2m listed race at Sandown last
time, though even best form leaves him with plenty to find here.




PALLASATOR Sir Mark Prescott
Won Henry II Stakes at Sandown (by two and a quarter lengths from Suegioo) in 2016. Respectable six
and a half lengths fifth on return in Sagaro Stakes at Ascot in May, unsuited by way race developed,
though reportedly not been himself at home since. Often gets worked up before race.


PLATITUDE Sir Michael Stoute
Showed smart form in six starts as a three-year-old last season, including when winning 1¾m listed race
here. Not up to the task when fourth in listed race over same distance at York last time, however, and
needs to improve significantly for the longer trip here.


PRINCE OF ARRAN Charlie Fellowes
Smart handicapper who ran as well as ever when second in Sagaro Stakes and was better than result
when 11 and a quarter lengths eighth in Gold Cup last time, finding the test too much. Plenty to find
with the principals on form here, though.


QEWY Charlie Appleby
Enjoyed productive spell ‘Down Under’ in 2016, finishing fourth in Melbourne Cup at Flemington
between wins in Geelong Cup (Handicap) and listed handicap at Sandown (Australia). Creditable
reappearance when fourth in Queen Alexandra last time, and should come on for the run.


SHEIKHZAYEDROAD David Simcock
Better than ever in 2016, finishing one and a quarter lengths third in this race before winning Doncaster
Cup and Long Distance Cup at Ascot. Ran well when third in Dubai Gold Cup at Meydan in March, but
below form after three months off when nine and three quarter lengths sixth in Gold Cup last time,
seemingly not giving his all, and has something to prove now.


US ARMY RANGER Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
Won maiden at the Curragh and Chester Vase before strong-finishing second to Harzand in Derby at
Epsom in 2016. Not gone on as seemed likely, however, and was again well below form when three
lengths third in Queen Alexandra last time.


WICKLOW BRAVE Willie Mullins, Ireland
Grade 1-winning hurdler who finished three and a quarter lengths fourth in this race and won Irish St
Leger at the Curragh (by half a length from Order of St George) last season. Respectable half a length
second to Rekindling in Curragh Cup (1¾m) last time and definite place claims again here.


ENDLESS TIME Charlie Appleby
Won Lancashire Oaks at Haydock before better effort when half a length second to Left Hand in Prix
Vermeille at Chantilly in 2016. Shaped as if needing the run when half a length fourth on return in
Yorkshire Cup and possibly unsuited by conditions when well held in Gold Cup last time, lugging right
off the bridle. Could outrun big odds given more ease underfoot here.


SHE IS NO LADY Ralph Beckett
Smart mare who won 1¾m listed race at Saint-Cloud last year and produced career best when six and a
half lengths fourth in Gold Cup last time, seemingly suited by step up in trip. No obvious reason why she
should reverse placings with Big Orange here, however.


SIMPLE VERSE Ralph Beckett
2015 St Leger winner who proved as good as ever last season, winning Park Hill Stakes at Doncaster
before respectable length third in Long Distance Cup. Shaped as if retaining ability when a neck second
on return in Yorkshire Cup, and clearly not right when soundly beaten in Gold Cup last time.


SWEET SELECTION Hughie Morrison
Most progressive in 2o16, winning four times, including 33-runner Cesarewitch at Newmarket in October.
Improved again when following up on return in Sagaro Stakes (by one and a half lengths from Prince of
Arran) and respectable efforts twice since, including when seventh in Gold Cup.


DESERT SKYLINE David Elsworth
Placed in three of four starts this season (three and a half lengths sixth in Queen’s Vase on other occasion),
and produced best effort when length second to Raheen House in Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket last
time, sticking to task well. More needed against older horses here, though.


STRADIVARIUS John Gosden
Useful performer who won handicap at Beverley in April and took step up in class in his stride when
winning Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot (by a neck from Count Octave) last time, having to weave way
through and quickening to lead late on. Likely to progress further and respected accordingly.


CONCLUSION
Six of the first 10 from the Gold Cup look set to do battle again here, but the first two were some six
lengths clear of the third that day and—in the absence of runner-up Order of St George—Big Orange is
a confident selection as he attempts to emulate Double Trigger and win the Goodwood Cup for a third
time. Simple Verse is better than she was able to show at the Royal meeting and looks the main danger,
with the lightly-raced Dal Harraild another to consider.

4 Re: HORSES TO FOLLOW EXTRA on Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:28 am

Mike "Acesandeights"

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Will do more tomorrow for everyone

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