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S.A.S » S.A.S MAIN BETS » Introduce myself

Introduce myself

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1 Introduce myself on Fri May 26, 2017 11:27 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Evening, i was approached on Racecaller this afternoon to take a look at the Nicker of the day section on that site, by a lady called Angela who i believe is on here.

Having taken time to look over the pages on Racecaller of Nicker of the Day, i was persuaded to join up without hesitation.

I mean no trouble and am on no ego hunting trip, i just would like to be part of a community that does what it says on the tin, i often enjoy a bet and win or lose i like to take a gamble i have found some good winners and some very poor losers over the many years i have partaken in gambling, i will just leave my tips on this part and will be of no hassle to anyone, having a look at the posts on this site i have seen nothing but positivity unlike Racecaller where i have counted at least 5 arguments all day, and see it all from people on the moon, guys thinking they in a boxing film fighting the bookies and men throwing claims of being king but losing on most of his tips well if that is a king then i will keep to the bottom.

Will post up soon, so far i have one fancy that being in the Alyssa, write up will follow just having a look at some others.

2 Re: Introduce myself on Fri May 26, 2017 11:55 pm

Scram

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I think half of the forum envies you for being approached by the delightful Angela ;) 
Welcome on board and enjoy the good vibes here. Everybody works to make a profit. Some have better days than others but everybody has been suggesting interesting things and when it does not happen it is probably the fault of the horse... or the jockey... or the trainer... or the weather ... or the tea lady... there is no reason to blame each other.
Looking forward to your suggestions, Alyssa is a good first move I think.
all the best

3 Re: Introduce myself on Sat May 27, 2017 12:04 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Thank you Scram, that is one more welcome than i got at Racecaller, i have three fancies for tomorrow. I would say Brian the Snail is my most fancied out the three bit of a risk based on last race but if can forgive that we could have ourselves a very big winner

Just in case people wonder why i mention the race name, i do this because sometimes the name gives clues i have found and it might help someone spot a clue, i.e a race sponsored by trainer connections so i always check the race name.

Alyssa, heads to the Grand cup stakes in the 2.40 York race ....the same race that Ralph Beckett and Berry won last year, you got to always like when a trainer and a jockey take the time to make out a plan, they teaming up again on a very likable filly here, fair enough she does have a bit of weight to fight out today but judging on her races over the previous season i am positive on her being able to give it her all here and show more she has wont 4 out of her 5 races last season and the 1m 6f she holds a strong record of not being beaten could this be Becket and Berry's race again well if she can handle the long break she had which Beckett is known to do with his horses then yes they can 11/1 is pretty fair and high because of the 8 month break if she already had a positive start she would of surely been around the 5/1 - 3/1 mark for this race so i will take the 11/1 risk 

Top Score, goes over to 3.10 Goodwood in the Winners are Welcome at Matchbook, he ran a good race when was taken to the 2000 Guineas, anyone who does not really know the Guineas it is a pretty tough race to compete in so him coming here will seem like a much easier type of race and competition than he found at the 2000. A other fine horse who is holding weight but is dropping down in trip back to 7f you got to think this gave Churchill a good run could we be seeing a Top Score here 7/1 is very honest odds rating for this he did make a mistake at the Guineas in the stalls breaking bad if he breaks fair today then he should give us a fair win, Sutter County is the horse i am worried about here but good luck in finding the Johnston horse 

Brian the snail is running in the Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane 3.30 Haydock, gave one of the most shocking runs last time we seen this with no explanation what so ever being a forgiving man i will give him a chance. Richard Fahey said he does not know what happened with it and said all seems to be fine now so i willing to take his word, goes back to 6f today and Hamilton is taking the saddle again having been his original jockey who gave and outstanding win at Catterick when lead by 7L to secure a easy victory, please do not write this horse off for one mistake it could be your biggest mistake if you do at 14/1 is too much of a great price to pass up on this he also fits all the Big race trends for this race i would rather be on this at 14/1 and lose than not on it forgiveness could be all it takes today

4 Re: Introduce myself on Sat May 27, 2017 1:02 am

Burningroots

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Welcome mate do what you like on here and post when and where you like we do not treat people like kids around here all grown men do and say has you please if you want open a thread everyday with your stuff then do it would do no harm to anyone on here some very good picks with them

5 Re: Introduce myself on Sat May 27, 2017 1:20 am

Jh2103

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Welcome dancing I see you've already spoke with bob and pk lmao may I just add them two are the main reason alot got banned on there for no reason.... good luck with your selections and like the look of your write ups.

6 Re: Introduce myself on Sat May 27, 2017 1:47 am

Sean

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Dancingshadows1965 wrote:

Brian the snail is running in the Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane 3.30 Haydock, gave one of the most shocking runs last time we seen this with no explanation what so ever being a forgiving man i will give him a chance. Richard Fahey said he does not know what happened with it and said all seems to be fine now so i willing to take his word, goes back to 6f today and Hamilton is taking the saddle again having been his original jockey who gave and outstanding win at Catterick when lead by 7L to secure a easy victory, please do not write this horse off for one mistake it could be your biggest mistake if you do at 14/1 is too much of a great price to pass up on this he also fits all the Big race trends for this race i would rather be on this at 14/1 and lose than not on it forgiveness could be all it takes today
i personally gone for a other in this race but u av convinced me to use this for a cheeky cover ya pretty right on this one an will post mine up now and was already going do a Fahey double but with this added i going do a cheeky fahey patent n like was already said crack on with whatever ya want on here if you wanna chat about the weather all day n not the horses then feel free no one really minds tbf well i dunt anyway and if you wanna do different threads on other sports etc then do it ok you wont be told where to put your stuff i am sure everyone savvy enough on here to work around anything

http://www.nickeroftheday.com

7 Re: Introduce myself on Sat May 27, 2017 3:14 pm

Samantha.dee

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Dancingshadows1965 wrote:

Top Score, goes over to 3.10 Goodwood in the Winners are Welcome at Matchbook, he ran a good race when was taken to the 2000 Guineas, anyone who does not really know the Guineas it is a pretty tough race to compete in so him coming here will seem like a much easier type of race and competition than he found at the 2000. A other fine horse who is holding weight but is dropping down in trip back to 7f you got to think this gave Churchill a good run could we be seeing a Top Score here 7/1 is very honest odds rating for this he did make a mistake at the Guineas in the stalls breaking bad if he breaks fair today then he should give us a fair win, Sutter County is the horse i am worried about here but good luck in finding the Johnston horse 

Unlucky you spotted out the right Johnston horse i did notice you done similar yesterday with a tip you put up when you quoted the winner in your write up, we doing this mistake all the time very unlucky  :P

8 Re: Introduce myself on Sat May 27, 2017 11:31 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Evening, thank you to everyone who commented making me feel welcome, i did not manage a bet on Sutter County i did not feel confident enough on it at the time.

My picks tomorrow are

Big Chip and Pin 
Decorated Knight 
Ballynagour 

I am just doing the write up now, so give me 20 minutes please and will post it.

9 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 12:19 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Ballynagour is going to the Clarke Chase held in Uttoxeter at 4.15, Scudamore and Pipe i feel never need a talk about but they do need a few winners this weekend they are falling behind a little bit and this one could be the horse to give them that. The last time we seen this race at Uttoxeter was at the John Smith;s Summer Cup race where was denied a win coming 2nd out of 19 runners he had Gas Line Boy 12l behind him and Pacha Du Polder so that gives him good form at Uttoxeter, then i take you to the Grand National, he came 11th which in itself is impressive to even come anywhere in that race, will not mind good or soft ground this old horse and now that Scudamore is back he could get a very good place i think the 16/1 is insulting not fair and i would say he is about a 10/1 type of horse he has ran in much higher classed company and in his prime would of been running home like a odds on horse.

Decorated Knight is going to find himself at the Tattersalls Gold Cup tomorrow afternoon, which takes place over at Curragh at 2.20, i already do regret placing the bet on this, made mistake of not checking the weather old age sometimes makes you do these silly things. Raining a lot and even his trainer does have doubts from clippings i been reading, sometimes you just got to stick to your guns. This race today is so much easier than he is use to seeing, when last seen he was over in Meydan where he was placed 6th and put on a good effort when the company he was keeping that day is a bit like me going to the local and dining with the Queen. I am more interested in his other run at Meydan when he beat Muffri'ha and Folswood in a tight race and seen Ribchester and Mutakayyef at their best, the soft ground is not a huge off put when you read that he did win over good to soft and place out of his 3 starts and Atzeni will not be too put off by the step up in trip where this horse has never failed to place or win over this distance you can find it in places around 5/1 - 11/2 i personally took the 5/1 because was happy with that from my bookmaker seemed a fair honest price.

Big Chip and Pin is going to the Listen On Line Handicap tomorrow afternoon, which will be held at Uttoxeter at 3.05 in what looks to be a really competitive handicap, he is making his handicap debut for this and the handicapper has given him half a chance here to make it a winning one, this is always going to be the type of horse no one would look twice at often beaten by many lengths closest he ever got was 22L behind a winning horse, silly i know of me to side with it but i do feel his been racing with some impressive horses like The Worlds End and Jenkins, what interests me is the soft ground form for this one, he came 3rd and 4th over soft ground and showed a liking for it, his got a perfect chance to show today he is better than we have been seeing, Robert Dunn remains booked in and he has had some good rides this week only winning on Wednesday with John Reel. Wont be a bet for everyones tastes this but at 8/1 i think that is very fair.

10 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 12:35 am

gitzy16v(Chris)

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really enjoyed reading that.....just like reading a newspaper to me.....i might put money on and i might not but it was enjoyable having a little read of something i find very interesting...thanks for your input pal....looking like a good addition to the forum...im only a reader...i couldnt tip a waiter lol...cheers for your posts

11 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 2:26 pm

Voodoo

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Dancingshadows1965 wrote:

Decorated Knight is going to find himself at the Tattersalls Gold Cup tomorrow afternoon, which takes place over at Curragh at 2.20, i already do regret placing the bet on this, made mistake of not checking the weather old age sometimes makes you do these silly things. Raining a lot and even his trainer does have doubts from clippings i been reading, sometimes you just got to stick to your guns. This race today is so much easier than he is use to seeing, when last seen he was over in Meydan where he was placed 6th and put on a good effort when the company he was keeping that day is a bit like me going to the local and dining with the Queen. I am more interested in his other run at Meydan when he beat Muffri'ha and Folswood in a tight race and seen Ribchester and Mutakayyef at their best, the soft ground is not a huge off put when you read that he did win over good to soft and place out of his 3 starts and Atzeni will not be too put off by the step up in trip where this horse has never failed to place or win over this distance you can find it in places around 5/1 - 11/2 i personally took the 5/1 because was happy with that from my bookmaker seemed a fair honest price.

Good honest call here mate

12 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 2:49 pm

Jh2103

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Top stuff dancing fella

13 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 3:00 pm

Nick C

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Nicely done Dancingshadows65...good to see a chap of similar years "doing the business" !

14 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 9:38 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Thank you everyone a winner will suit me made small profit on it thanks to the WD, well got make sure everyone knows we know a thing or two ourselves Nick

Ashford Island is heading to the Totequadpot Handicap tomorrow which is held at Chelmsford at 3.05 on the A.W in what you could call lowest of the low type of races class 7, now that may put people off but not me love all sorts of races no matter what class, it is like reading off a who is who list in this race General Tufto, Star Links bring back many memories, i was around the day General Tufto broke his 100th appearance at Southwell with a superstar victory was cheers and tears all around so will be having a bet on that at 16/1 but that will be more of a friendly bet, what made me side with Ashford Island was that he is now back at his last winning mark, they are turning this out very quickly only having a run on the 25th May which weirdly the race was titled Ladies day 22nd June, strange how they name these races sometimes. That was in a class 6 race over 7f, won by Suzi Icon 20/1 which shows you the type of race it might have been, Ashford got held up half way into the race not getting himself a clear run at all, so the trainer thought to himself i know what i will do drop him in class and put a extra furlong, this horse does hold a win over Chelmsford but it was not on the A.W i sometimes get confused about the A.W, Turf on how it really changes much details they all seem to run the same to me when comes to swapping between the two other than when it is really muddy something i will read into one time. 25/1 is a fair judgment on this horse and shows you his chances i feel the last time this was seen over 1m was only beaten a head by funny enough heads you win. by far General Tufto and Star links are the best in this race, and would be nice to see them two battle it out at the end then you younger ones will see something special, if they was to be at their very best.

Squeeze Me takes her turn over at the Tony Connell Memorial Handicap held at Cartmel 2.45 they have chosen to step this up in distance back to 2m 6f which i feel is the best move to make having won over C&D back in June last year where she beat Sendiym who is coming in this race and currently the joint market leader, when we last seen Squeeze me was at Uttoxeter where she was second only beaten by Eddy she is one of the more honest type of horses, who is rarely out of the top 3, she has only ran once here and won the soft ground is a slight worry having 4 starts over soft and placing just the once but never been out the top 3 in class 5 company and Shoemark is a good jockey on board 11/2 is fair for a horse who has already beaten the market leader over C&D

Midnight Warrior goes to the Come Racing Again Tomorrow Handicap held at Redcar in the 4.10 slot, was reading a bit about the owner of this horse a very modest man called Mr Trimble and he only owns the two horses and this one seems his best, i always like seeing the working man win. This is a previous C&D winner having won over it back in July when beat Ingleby Hollow which was over good to firm ground likes sees today, they have booked in David Allan who has had a couple of wins Arzaak, Excessable and Lucky Begger hoping the return to his best track sees him win here 10/1 is a honest asking price

15 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 10:49 pm

Firstpastthepost

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I will be placing a bet on Midnight Warrior now, thank you for this i was sitting all night thinking should i and this helped me make up my mind is a course specialist and is by far the best form of the field over the C&D so i am going to place a bet on this now good luck.

Russian Royale is a danger that was reason i was hesitant but going to take the gamble.

16 Re: Introduce myself on Sun May 28, 2017 11:17 pm

Samantha.dee

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Very good write up i like also how it is a mixture of smaller medium bigger willing to take a risk with the advice you give out, which i may add is very good advice.

I am a big General Tufto (Grufto i call it long story) fan and always have a bet on that when the odds have been right which they are again now very consistent so going be placing that in my section later

17 Re: Introduce myself on Mon May 29, 2017 6:49 pm

johnmf


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Hey Guys, you are all amazing!  I used to follow on racecaller buy I agree, it got swamped with idiots :-)

Following an learning here.  Tonite I am going for a hopeful e/w double at Valparisio:-

21:45 - Lucky Divinia 
22:45 - Tower of Fortune.

Thanks guys for helping me to learn.  I got a ways to go yet so don't take my picks as tips tho :-) :-)

18 Re: Introduce myself on Mon May 29, 2017 11:03 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Standards are very high on this forum, it is hard trying to find a good horse to match some of impressive winners i have been seeing on here, but i am liking the task ahead of me knowing how high the standards are for winners on here, i am trying to write up on horses that people might not fancy looking at and can not find written about often, we always hearing about short odds on other sites so i always try find something like a 25/1 shot to talk about that stands a fair chance

Harbour Town is heading to the Casino at Bet365 held at Lingfield 2.40 and is hoping to land the jackpot for this race, A sure welcome is the most obvious for this race looking for his 5th win in a row but this one had a run over at Kempton last start out when he came 6th he was returning from a break and suffered the dreaded Gelding he did give Morris a bad time on that day so it is a positive step seeing that Morris has chosen to give him a second chance for this who is stepping up in trip and drops down in some weights the handicapper obviously did not enjoy his run like i did that day, Morris is doing well and had some impressive wins in the past couple of weeks, most notably is Ebitda who was a 25/1 long shot at Redcar, maybe luck is about to change for the trainer Harry Dunlop 22/1 seems like a good pricing to show his chances.

Earthly is heading himself to bet365 but his not going to the casino instead his in the 5.10 race closing hours, was reading something about new handicap ruling but not 100% clear on all this something i will have to read up on, but it basically says this should be running in better races than is seeing today if was this time last week, this is a previous course winner having won the Median Auctions race by 2 and half lengths beating Dream Magic who is looking like the market leader to win his race at the 3.40, he is stepping up in trip for this race today which should help this one more than the lower distances we been seeing him racing in, the booking of Probert is very clever having already had Ryan Moore they have now decided to put in Probert who keeps on winning 7 wins in the past 14 days 33/1 12/1 6/1 which i have seen all tipped on here and this could be the 4th big winner for this forum ridden by Probert who had a win on Fair Cop today, Ralph Beckett has also been doing well having 7 wins himself 3 7/1's and a 8/1 only pulling out a 536/1 treble on Saturday so he certainly is on form 8/1 is a very fair price for this today.

19 Re: Introduce myself on Tue May 30, 2017 3:12 pm

Paddiescharms

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These write ups are very good reading and very good reasoning behind your selections and always informative enough to give people chance to follow or not best of luck with your next option

20 Re: Introduce myself on Tue May 30, 2017 5:18 pm

Paddiescharms

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Very pleased that won for you dancing you put lot effort in your write ups and nice price was not on it but was routing it on for you

21 Re: Introduce myself on Tue May 30, 2017 6:25 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Thank you, an enjoyable place to come to share my views without the worry of logging in expecting a argument breaking out. I am pleased with that little win do not put big sums on so is nice to have a bigger odd winning for me, hope others are having a good day and a positive evening to come.

22 Re: Introduce myself on Tue May 30, 2017 11:35 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Big Baz is heading back to the totepool Racecourse Debit Card Betting Available Handicap held at 3.50 in Nottingham over 1m and half Furlong, did not even know you could use your Debit card at the tracks, Big Baz won this in 2015 where he beat a good field he ran a good race winning by well over a length, that was over good ground which it shall be getting today. Since then he has gone on to do pretty well specially showing a good return at Newbury where he was placed 9th out of a field of 21 in a class two race, he has even won in class 1 company in the past where he beat Mitchum Swagger  sovereign debt and other good horses. He keeps the same jockey has when winning this race in 2015, a jockey who knows him very well having already won on this 3 separate occasions and is 100% over this C&D, Dwyer only won at this track last week when rode Green Power a 10/1 horse to a win a thing that showed my interest was this is the only winning trainer bothered to come and defend the title this year the previous two trainers have not bothered to come back with a runner for this race think 7/1 is a very fair price will be back if i find anything else.

23 Re: Introduce myself on Wed May 31, 2017 3:37 am

Shining Diamond

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Very good write ups, to me a write up that holds plenty of information is more than a win or a loss, when you can convince someone enough to follow you based on your words and opinion then it is always rated a good tip.

24 Re: Introduce myself on Thu Jun 01, 2017 12:51 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Thank you Shining Diamond, must say am impressed with you knowledge from reading your thread.

A few notes i have picked up reading around this forum is that some people are new to this and looking to learn, so in my write ups i am going to try go about showing people how i handicap a race, apologies if people think we already know this but some people do not.

Baby Gal is going to the Lynda Gilfrin Birthday Fillies Handicap race held at Lingfield in the 2.40 race in class 5 company, we last seen her over at the Hertz Car Rental Handicap that was held at Brighton over 6f, which indicates she is stepping up in trip today.

Sometimes that is a positive thing to look out for when you are handicapping a race is a step up in distance or a drop in distance, that was held in class 5 company so same sort of horses today she meets.

Over at Brighton she did well in her race, she came 3rd which was okay when you think she was held up and had to deal with a wide draw the trouble was she could not get a clear path on that day again, and showed that a step up in trip will help her a great deal when making a great positive attitude towards the end of the race.

A other thing you look out for when handicapping a race is how a trainer does at the specified course and distance, which is easier than it might sound a click of the button under a race card often shows this on many sites, Jim Boyle is the trainer for this horse and he shows a overall 30% win rate at this course and the jockey Charlie Bennet is 11%. This shows me that the trainer is often sending winners to this track today, i would then look see how they work together, they not often rode together in the 5 years out of the 15 rides he won 1 placed 7 times which is over a 50% strike rate, this is a positive for me when you think the horse is 20/1 in this race and place money will be okay for me at them odds.

The handicapper has been kind to this taking off 2lbs which should help her get a better chance of running bit faster specially when the jockey is a claimer, a claimer is often mentioned here it means it is a jockey who aids in taking off added weight in this case a further 3lbs, some view claimers has a positive other has a negative, because they are not fully trained up but i do not think it makes much difference every jockey got to start has a claimer Ruby Walsh, De Sousa and Dettori all was once claimers.

If she breaks well she can win today and 20/1 is a very fair price, taking a note out of your book Shining Diamond if i was to name a horse who i would view being a danger horse would be Always Thankful who is going at 8/1 she should be one to watch today.

Very best of luck everyone who takes part tomorrow but i think everyone is waiting for Fridays big races.

Dynamo Walk heads to the Toteexacta held at Chelmsford at 6.40 on the AW (All Weather) track, this is a horse that feels at home here, he holds an impressive 5 wins over this course and 6 places, last being his last start where he beat Highly Sprung who is a good Mark Johnston horse, when he takes to the 5f he holds a eye watering 10 wins and 12 places and Kieren Fox looked to really bring out the best in this older horse, Saved my Bacon is in this race but Dynamo Walt beat that one last start, but that is not saying i am not worried about that who could very well reverse the 1st place today. Derrick Shaw and Kieren Fox both do extremely well over this course and at 6/1 i think i play bit safe and get money back on the place because find it hard to see this out of the top 3

25 Re: Introduce myself on Thu Jun 01, 2017 2:25 am

Jh2103

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Cracking write up dancing like the look of baby gal aswel ew, it is one high on my list tmoro shall be playing on that one good luck

26 Re: Introduce myself on Thu Jun 01, 2017 1:17 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Thank you very kind of you to say that, hope you have a very good day today.

27 Re: Introduce myself on Fri Jun 02, 2017 12:03 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Pursuing the dream heads to the EBF Novice Stakes race that will be held in Catterick at 1.50 in class 5 company for 2 year old horses. Has the title of the race sounds Novice means full of inexperienced horses, often avoided by many but for a silly old fart like me can not help but go in when see a horse i have liked and this one i enjoyed watching when seen her race over at Goodwood, she came 4th in that race but looked to be a bit special she took a bit of a bump in that race and if gets a nice clear running today she could win this , Costello keeps the booking today after going on him for his two rides and has performed well of late having 5 wins in the past 14 days, Wink Oliver must of been his stand out win 16/1 but saying that all 5 of the wins have been above 6/1 bar one which was on Retrieve which is by this jockey who himself is doing ok, speaking with Shining Diamond she showed me a new trick, shows we all learn something new in this game she showed me how to read a horses form not wins but horses predictions and so far trainers form is showing a 59% strike rate of in form meaning they running to form which will suggest this one is due his win 7/1 is pretty fair 

Lambrini Legacy heads to the Lionweld Kennedy Handicap at Catterick at 3.00 in class 5 company for 3 year old horses, got a feeling a few will know what Lambrini is on here, similar to what the white lightning use to be of our day. But this one has been running consistent in her 3 starts and been unlucky on 2 occasions coming 2nd twice, she has placed both times at big odds and this is her first run at the handicaps the jockey Kevin Scott been doing okay with a couple of wins but nothing that was eyecatching trainer Lisa Williams is the one who trains up Mighty Zip who had a nice win this week 15/2 for this one 

Quick N Quirky she is heading over to the Follow @BritishEBF on Twitter Fillies Handicap that is going to be set at Catterick for 3 year olds in Class 4 which means it is of better standards than the previous two above so looking for a more of a better race, not always the case sometimes class 5 and 6 races are some of the best i have witnessed.  This horse is being turned out fast and put on a okay show when seen at Carlisle she gets a different jockey booking for this race David Allan who has won on this horse a couple of times and placed on it 4 different occasions 5/1 seems honest and fair odds for such a horse that can be anything.

Go Banana's heads to the Sunbets.co.uk live Casino/EBF Novice Stakes held in Bath at the 6.20 race  i am taking more of a what we call a "punt" meaning bit of a risk a gamble based on Brian Meehans record over at bath his known to get his horses running well when heading to Bath on their first run, having a 31% strike rate when brings his 2 year old horses here and his jockey is a good claimer an up and coming one who i will be keeping a eye out for Jordan Uys he seems to know what he is doing and is the jockey who often seen running for Williams who is the trainer of the horse above 14/1 for some place money at least 

Burnt Sugar is going to the Blue Line Taxis Barnsley Supporting WPCC Handicap in a big class 3 race which is bigger than i taken on today, held at Doncaster 7.30, Ice lord i do like but this is the one i am picking here today, came 6th on his last start and steps up in trip for this one hoping to see some improvement to form tonight for this one bit of a risk but the price reflects that one here which is currently 14/1 McDonald has been doing ok having 7 wins in the past 14 days and could get this one home, he has managed to get a few troubled horses much needed wins 

Pink Ribbon is going for a Three Friday Nights Amateur Riders' Handicap held at Goodwood in the 6.10 race, is going be taking a chance in this company with these sorts of horses i am taking a chance that this is going to show a return to form at a track when he is 2/3 at having won both starts here and only missing out on the other worth a try this one 10/3

28 Re: Introduce myself on Fri Jun 02, 2017 12:35 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Knows way round
I am going to attempt a Jamie Spencer patent bet tomorrow evening, he has been very impressive this past fortnight having have 11 wins one of them being a 20/1 outsider i am hoping that i have picked out his main three, he has and impressive presence having 26 wins and 59 places out of 143 runs over the last 5 years and shows a good profit £33 shows his best ever form at this track

Ms Gillard heads to the Napoleon Casino and Restaurant Sheffield Supporting WPCC Fillies held in class 5 company tomorrow, held at Doncaster 6.30, couple heading to the Casino by the looks tomorrow evening,  Livella Fella was tempting for me but i did not like the price, then stumbled on this after seeing the Spencer booking this is going to be the first leg of my patent so it seems now, this horse has been getting closer to winning with every ride Spencer who is very much in form keeps the booking and should see this one get home today, might also be worth noting this is David Simcocks only horse out tonight then his heading to that restaurant by the looks 13/2

Warsaw Road is going to Buckingham insurance fighting cancer with WPCC Maiden races  held at Doncaster 7.00, and is the second leg of the Spencer special this horse was bit shy on his first run out last time but for a 25/1 chance he did pretty well coming 4th out of ten and maybe with Spencer he could set the standards 10/1 is worth taking a risk
 
The final part of this will go to Nayyar who is heading to the Alan Wood Plumbing and Heating WPCC Handicap in class 4 company at Doncaster 8.00, i really do not make these names up, was a bit of a let down last time out, this trainer and jockey have a strong bond and earned a lot of money nearly a million pound together over the 5 years and have over a 50% win/place rate together  83 win/places over the years out of 157 rides weirdly enough for amount of wins if you was a punter then you would not of been pleased shows the favourites do not pay in this case because if you followed all them you would be at a loss strange that because his earned his most money off this jockey 8/1 seems fair to me

29 Re: Introduce myself on Fri Jun 02, 2017 12:35 am

Dancingshadows1965

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That is a lot of horses sorry if too much to be reading

30 Re: Introduce myself on Fri Jun 02, 2017 1:58 pm

Sean

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WORST TIPSTER OF THE WEEK
WORST TIPSTER OF THE WEEK
Savvy write ups am nice pick on pursuin the dream good place money welcome to site I like wen can jus leave ppl to it u doin good job buddy

http://www.nickeroftheday.com

31 Re: Introduce myself on Fri Jun 02, 2017 7:40 pm

Angi

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Grafter
Grafter
Dancingshadows1965 wrote:

Burnt Sugar is going to the Blue Line Taxis Barnsley Supporting WPCC Handicap in a big class 3 race which is bigger than i taken on today, held at Doncaster 7.30, Ice lord i do like but this is the one i am picking here today, came 6th on his last start and steps up in trip for this one hoping to see some improvement to form tonight for this one bit of a risk but the price reflects that one here which is currently 14/1 McDonald has been doing ok having 7 wins in the past 14 days and could get this one home, he has managed to get a few troubled horses much needed wins 

Thank you for this one hun x

32 Re: Introduce myself on Fri Jun 02, 2017 9:29 pm

Millster

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REGULAR
REGULAR
You deserved that Win  Dancing for the work you put into these write ups and getting so close with a couple

33 Re: Introduce myself on Mon Jun 05, 2017 9:30 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Knows way round
Aqua Libre is heading to the John Kemp 4x4 Centre of Norwich Handicap held at Yarmouth in the 4.20 time slot, it is currently the outsider of the race in a field of 6, some people might choose to avoid these type of bets when only 2 places up for grabs and a big outsider i can see why many feel best to keep the money close to them. First thing that stood out to me was the Jockey of Crowley on board this horse he has been performing really well lately having already had 8 winners one being today a 10/1, it is pretty hard to judge the McBride horses having not many horses out last one was on the 1st of June where his horse came 2nd Zack Mayo but his horses are running on a 50% to form strike so means you taking a flip of a coin on his horses at the moment. Mcbride shows his best when he sends his horses to Yarmouth having a 35% strike rate in the past 5 years, but that looks better when you get rid of everything and only include his 4 year old horses like Aqua Libre is then it goes to 44% in rate out of the 9 starts with his 4 year olds at Yarmouth in 5 years he won 4 of them races and placed 2 times so is worth chancing on that alone. This horse spent a bit of time running on the AW tracks and came back to turf on a low marking she has been running with horses in better classes than today this being a class 4 but she has fought out in class two company and held her own nice fair price 14/1

Eez Eh heads to the Yorkshire Post Magazine Handicap held at Wetherby in the 3.40 time slot, this horse caught the eye when tipped up by the Edge for those who do not have access to the racing post tips here is the write up about this horse

With more than 6mm of rain forecast to fall on watered going overnight at Wetherby, the ground should be riding on the soft side for this 1m2f handicap and this four-year-old is worth a chance on what could be his ideal conditions.


Keith Dalgleish's gelding made all on good to soft ground in a 1m1f handicap at Carlisle last October off a mark of 70 and will be hard to catch again if he can reproduce that form off a 1lb lower mark.


He has been below that form in three starts since being gelded this year, but those runs came on good or faster and he showed he retains plenty of ability when a close fifth at Ayr last month.


By soft-ground influence Jeremy, the easier conditions could spark a return to form.

20/1 is a fair price for each way.

34 Re: Introduce myself on Sun Jun 11, 2017 9:57 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Finally found something that is worth writing up on after a long week of not being able to find anything worthwhile, not forgot about the site just only like to post when i find something worth a write up if i can not do a  personal write up to convince myself i always feel not betting but managed to find one tomorrow.

Jack the laird heads to the Starspreads Handicap held at Brighton in the 4.45 class 6 company, Deeds not Words is so far the popular choice looking set to claim a hat trick. This pick has been fending off some stronger competition than will be seeing today, they are dropping him back to 6f i would of liked to see him around 5f but am hoping the new headgear will work in hand today, looks to be a messy race with New Rich also coming into this his trainer Dean Ivory won this race last year with Soaring Spirits so is of interest how he sends this one over to defend that title his already had 4 horses win that above 8/1 for him in the past 2 weeks the jockey booked in Duern also won on a Ivory horse today Incredible Dream who won at 16/1 so is nice to see him riding this one out is the jockeys only ride today and trainer is 65% running to form which suggests this should at least place based on that 12/1 seems a very fair price

35 Re: Introduce myself on Sun Jun 11, 2017 11:02 pm

Ubik

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Dancingshadows1965 wrote:Finally found something that is worth writing up on after a long week of not being able to find anything worthwhile, not forgot about the site just only like to post when i find something worth a write up if i can not do a  personal write up to convince myself i always feel not betting but managed to find one tomorrow.

Jack the laird heads to the Starspreads Handicap held at Brighton in the 4.45 class 6 company, Deeds not Words is so far the popular choice looking set to claim a hat trick. This pick has been fending off some stronger competition than will be seeing today, they are dropping him back to 6f i would of liked to see him around 5f but am hoping the new headgear will work in hand today, looks to be a messy race with New Rich also coming into this his trainer Dean Ivory won this race last year with Soaring Spirits so is of interest how he sends this one over to defend that title his already had 4 horses win that above 8/1 for him in the past 2 weeks the jockey booked in Duern also won on a Ivory horse today Incredible Dream who won at 16/1 so is nice to see him riding this one out is the jockeys only ride today and trainer is 65% running to form which suggests this should at least place based on that 12/1 seems a very fair price
I like this one as well, i posted it in my stats attack thread, its tomorrows highest Highest Place% to Win% Ratio - All Meetings
but then i also think Knight of the air could play a part as its down to the last winning mark, and the drop in distance will help as ran well and strong for a long way last time out
https://www.flatstats.co.uk/horse-racing-stats.php

36 Re: Introduce myself on Mon Jun 12, 2017 5:15 pm

Kelly

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TART OF FORUM
TART OF FORUM
Your horse he ran very well and will win his next race in a bigger field so you need put him on your tracker ok but only if his about 8/1+ i will put it on my tracker and remind you when he is running you will get your money back then

37 Re: Introduce myself on Mon Jun 12, 2017 6:25 pm

Ubik

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Kelly wrote:Your horse he ran very well and will win his next race in a bigger field so you need put him on your tracker ok but only if his about 8/1+ i will put it on my tracker and remind you when he is running you will get your money back then

I cursed him as well Kelly, its not just you so dont feel paranoid  :D :D :D

38 Re: Introduce myself on Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:43 pm

Dancingshadows1965

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Go Amber Go heads to the Happy Birthday Stuart Ash Handcap tomorrow at Chepstow held at 4.30 and goes at 7/1, i will like to mention 2 horses for this race if no one minds this one and 1 very higher odds will get to them in a moment rode well when last seen at Chepstow coming 2nd beaten by Quantom Dot then they played around with the distance on this one switching between 6f and 5f now if this was 5f i would not give it the time of day but over 6f i will do just that back in April raced twice over 6f and won both starts at Kempton and Windsor then on the hat trick they tried to change it around and move back to 5f and it lost the hat trick one thing that also stood out to me on both them starts and wins it was under this jockey so i am pleased to see her taking the bokking again on this today she gives this a 5lb claim and Mr Millman is having a good couple of weeks with a few of his horses winning that was not on form but all showing signs of being on form now and i think 7/1 is a fair price 


The other horse i want to give a mention to that i have also put a bet on is Jacksonfire, i have a feeling this price is going slowly fall when people spot a couple bits about this horse both his runs over Chepstow have been almost perfect races for him infact Chepstow is his best of work and i got a feeling when the market spots this they going be putting the money on it just hoping for the place at this price last time seen over chepstow he was coming 3rd at 80/1 beating Wahaab who i feel is a good horse to say you beat then the one before that he came second beating Jaganory a other useful horse Robert tart takes the booking on this, this horse is way too low on the handicap to be ignoring at these odds 50/1

39 Re: Introduce myself on Tue Jul 18, 2017 12:13 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Dreamboat Annie heads to the Afi Uplift Nursery Handicap race held at 3.00 in Bath later on today, it is a 5f race on firm ground with 10 runners. This is the only C&D winner in this race today and only has 3 runnings and only win was here when she won beating a field of 5, she loved the firm ground that day and i see little trouble in her doing exactly the same thing here today under this same jockey of Drown who is doing well his had four winners in the past 14 days Storm King 12/1 Lightening Charlie 16/1 Heartstone 20/1 and Sir Titan 3/1, which shows based on the 1st three he certainly shows no difficulty when riding the tougher horses to wins he even took a 40/1 to 2nd place and he does really well over at Bath, so you can trust the jockey to give this his best.8/1 seems a very fair honest price would say it is around 5/1 come the morning 

40 Re: Introduce myself on Tue Jul 18, 2017 3:54 pm

XxicequeenxX

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QUEEN OF THE MONTH
QUEEN OF THE MONTH
Nice place on this Dancing hope that has given you bit of confidence back was only beaten a neck

41 Re: Introduce myself on Tue Aug 08, 2017 2:16 am

Dancingshadows1965

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Short Work is going to Catterick today at 4.15 in a race called the Royal Dragoon Guards Handicap a class 5 race his trainer is a new trainer for this horse since April David O'Meara who took this from the Raph Beckett yard.  O'Meara might not spring anyone with any confidence having had 71 runners out in the past 14 days and only the 1 winner, but with the week from hell maybe we can excuse him. His Jockey is similar Josh Doyle yet to manage himself a winner out of a dozen or so rides but now at Catterick that could all change for this young man. His very impressive over here in 5 years since his been riding at Catterick on 4+ year old horses his had 23 starts and won 4 placed 9 times showing a profit to the £ of 12.50.


When we last saw this was racing at Carlisle in the Grassroots Sprint Series he came 3rd did not get a good run of things coming into difficulty at the end, Ki Ki was 7l behind him on that day and  since went onto win at Thirsk in the Sammy Lane Fillies beating a pretty good field. Cliff who was also in that race placing 2nd just a slight head in front of Short work just went onto win his race at Carlisle and Mr Orange the winner of that race pulled out a other victory at Pontefract so for this to of come 3rd in that race with plenty of good horses coming on since gives this hope here.


Will handle Good To Soft  very well 


13/2 seems a very fair price 


Tadaawol could be a big danger along with Dyllan.

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